• Naoya Inoue vs David Benavidez props are live to bet ahead of Saturday’s championship fight.
• My prime prop to target is Benavidez to knock down Ramirez.
• Take a look at those Ramirez vs Benavidez fight props and odds, from method of victory to total rounds and more.

The Gilberto “Zurdo” Ramirez vs David Benavidez fight expects to feature plenty of fireworks and a party atmosphere. It seems ideal as two champions get ready to rumble late on Saturday night (around 11:20 pm ET). This bout is for Ramirez’s WBA (super) and WBO Cruiserweight belts.

Benavidez, the undefeated champion (at Light Heavyweight), is a large favorite on the moneyline, now at -550 on DraftKings (-500 via FanDuel and -650 via Caesars). As always, more options tip the scales from the props. Benavidez is moving up to Cruiserweight to take on Ramirez and go for a belt in a third weight class.

Here are just a few Ramirez vs Benavidez fight props and odds for this main event from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Ramirez vs Benavidez Method of Victory Props

All odds at DraftKings as of May 2. Check out the FanDuel promo code before wagering on the Ramirez vs Benavidez fight.

Given how young in the game Benavidez is, even approaching 30, the numbers lean on the American to stay undefeated. Many having this fight not going the distance as Benavidez wants to deliver the knockout blow. Does that leave him vulnerable against Ramirez? Anything is possible. Benavidez has been knocked down twice in his career. This is why late movement has seen Benavidez by decision gain momentum. Again, the challenger is also 48-1 (30 KO’s) and is desperate to score a significant upset.

The public loves a good turf war fight. Benavidez naturally agreed to this fight in Vegas to maximize the electric crowd potential. Online sportsbooks have seen some shifts. Again, seeing that Caesars number may lead the public to stray from “The Mexican Monster” (-650 moneyline at Caesars at press time).

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Ramirez vs Benavidez Total Rounds Props

Yes, as Brady Trettenero wrote from a previous Benavidez fight, there is that raw power to consider from the 31-0 (25 KO’s) fighter. However, something else to consider is that “Zurdo” Ramirez has quite a chin and went 12 rounds with one of the best in Dmitry Bivol. The question has what has Ramirez learned from that Bivol fight. Attack too much and Benavidez can use his power shots. Attack too little and Benavidez can eat Ramirez alive with jabs and shots from distance.

I believe the Decision is at the taking (currently at -145). If one wants to take a swing at the Under of 11.5 rounds, they can with risk. Better yet, I would suggest taking Benavidez in group betting (Rounds 10-12) at +1000.

You know that Benavidez craves volume to tire out his opponents. This fight will be entertaining and that is why I like Benavidez to pound Ramirez especially in the later rounds. Again, does the Arizona native have enough to take a Cruiserweight down for the count? That is the big question.

A Few More Ramirez vs Benavidez Bets

Ramirez vs Benavidez – Who Gets Knocked Down

Yes, this presents much better than the moneyline. As we mentioned, the -650 moneyline on Benavidez seems out there. Even -500 via FanDuel is a little steep. Instead, we pivot in a few different directions.

The part of this fight that gets entertaining quickly is if Ramirez can catch Benavidez a few times. That would spike up the entertainment value and force Benavidez on the offensive. Ramirez will be a tougher competitor than most boxing experts give him credit for. Wisdom at the age of 34 counts for something here. That being said, when the fists of Benavidez start going full steam, look out!

Do not forget that DAZN carries this fight and the card as well for $79.99 on their PPV. East Coast fans might have to stay up late but it will be worth a little less sleep. Do not forget if you have faith in at least one knockdown, FanDuel has 1+ knockdowns at +105. Another creative risk to take is for Benavidez to land 20+ punches in Round 1 (+300). He has averaged 22.5 punches land per round according to CompuBox over his past 13 fights.

I believe David Benavidez will be a three division champion after Saturday. Good luck, and one can scout out the prime and best online sportsbook options before the bell rings on this Ramirez vs Benavidez showdown.

The post Ramirez vs Benavidez Fight Props & Odds – Method of Victory, Total Rounds & More appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• David Benavidez is a -550 moneyline favorite over Gilberto Ramirez in Saturday’s cruiserweight title fight
• Benavidez is seeking a third title in his third weight class
• Check out my expert Ramirez vs Benavidez prediction, plus the latest odds and line movement for Saturday’s fight

Boxing fans started Saturday morning with the Inoue vs Nakatani mega clash in Japan, and can end the night with a battle of two of the top Mexican fighters in the sport. David Benavidez puts his undefeated record on the line versus Gilberto Ramirez, as Benavidez looks to capture his third title in his third different weight class. Online sportsbooks like his chances, pegging the 29-year-old as a massive -550 favorite.

This cruiserweight bout is expected to take place around 9 pm PT, Midnight ET inside T-Mobile Arena, in Las Vegas, NV, with Amazon Prime Video providing the coverage.

Keep reading for my expert Ramirez vs Benavidez prediction, plus the latest odds and line movement for Saturday’s fight.

Expert Ramirez vs Benavidez Prediction

• Benavidez by Decision (-150 at Bet365)

My favorite wager in this fight is Benavidez by decision. Benavidez enters in the prime of his career, looking to add a cruiserweight title to his former super middleweight belt and his current light heavyweight championship. He’s a high-volume, exceptionally conditioned fighter, who is younger, faster and more technically sound than his opponent.

As Benavidez continues to climb the weight classes, his heavy hands don’t inflict the same type of devastating damage they did against smaller fighters, but he’s still more than capable of delivering the knockout blow. He boasts and 80% KO rate in 31 fights, and while Ramirez has more experience fighting at this weight, he’s not a true cruiserweight either, having moved up from light heavyweight.

Tale of the Tape

Nevertheless, Ramirez is a seasoned veteran of many wars and has an incredibly durable chin. Not only has he never been knocked out in 50 career bouts, but he’s also never been knocked down either. He’s shown the ability to absorb heavy punches from much bigger opponents in the past, without even looking fazed. I’m confident he can weather the storm of Benavidez’s aggression, but I don’t believe he can score enough points on his own to win this fight.

Ramirez is an expert at deploying his jab to keep his opponents away, while using his lateral quickness to escape danger if they sneak in tight. That style will keep him upright and extend the fight, but it won’t do much to help his winning prospects.

Benavidez, meanwhile, is at his best when he lures opponents in and then hits them with lightning-quick combinations. Ramirez, however, is too smart to get sucked into that trick and will likely try to make this fight as boring as possible.

Eventually, I’m convinced Benavidez will be resigned to the fact that Ramirez is going to stay away, and the younger man will simply out-point him for the remainder of the fight.

Gilberto Ramirez vs David Benavidez Odds

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If you want to tail my Benavidez by decision bet, make sure you visit Bet365. They’re currently offering the wager at -150 odds, which is in line with all the other commercial books.

If you believe Ramirez is capable of an upset, I’d swing for the fences. He’s +1200 to win by knockout, and unless he floors Benavidez with a wicked blow, I don’t see how he can win this fight.

Ramirez vs Benavidez Line Movement

To say Benavidez is the more popular side in the betting market would be a massive understatement. He’s gone from a -390 moneyline favorite to his current price of -550 in just over 24 hours. Money is coming in fast and furious on Benavidez, meaning online sportsbooks are going to be desperately cheering for an upset tonight.

The post Expert Ramirez vs Benavidez Prediction, Odds & Line Movement for Saturday’s Fight appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• David Benavidez challenges unified cruiserweight champion Gilberto “Zurdo” Ramirez tonight at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
• The Cinco de Mayo weekend boxing fight tonight is live on DAZN PPV and Amazon Prime Video for $79.99
• Keep reading for the Benavidez vs Zurdo fight time, where to watch, undercard and full fight card

David Benavidez’s next fight is his biggest yet. The undefeated 29-year-old challenges Gilberto Ramirez – better known as “Zurdo” Ramirez – for the unified WBA and WBO cruiserweight titles tonight at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. It’s a Cinco de Mayo weekend boxing fight between two Mexican-heritage stars, and it’s one of the best fight cards of 2026.

Benavidez (31-0, 25 KOs) is looking to become the first fighter in history to win world titles at 168, 175 and 200 pounds. Zurdo Ramirez (48-1, 30 KOs) is the Ring Magazine No. 1 cruiserweight and has won four straight since moving up to 200.

Fight Time | Where to Watch | Undercard | Full Fight Card | Odds | Bet Boost

Benavidez Fight Time

The David Benavidez fight tonight starts at 8:00 pm ET / 5:00 pm PT on the main card. Benavidez vs Zurdo ring walks are projected around 11:20 pm ET / 8:20 pm PT after the undercard wraps up.

UK fans watching the DAZN boxing card will need to stay up late. The main card begins at 1:00 am BST on Sunday morning, with the main event ring walks expected around 4:20 am BST.

Benavidez vs Zurdo: Where to Watch

So where can you watch Benavidez vs Zurdo tonight? The main card is a PPV event streaming live on both DAZN and Amazon Prime Video. The PPV costs $79.99 in the US and £24.99 in the UK. No DAZN subscription is required to buy it as a standalone PPV.

If you watch a lot of boxing fights on DAZN, the Ultimate Tier subscription ($49.99/month) includes this PPV and at least 11 others per year with no extra cost. Sign up for DAZN here to watch the fight live.

The prelims are free on Amazon Prime Video’s First on Prime platform starting at 5:30 pm ET.

Benavidez vs Zurdo Undercard

The Benavidez vs Zurdo undercard is highlighted by a WBA super middleweight title fight between Armando Resendiz and former champion Jaime Munguia. It’s Munguia’s first fight back after a PED suspension, and Resendiz jumped straight into the toughest defense available instead of taking a soft touch.

Oscar Duarte vs Angel Fierro at super lightweight rounds out the top three bouts on the David Benavidez fight card.

David Benavidez vs Zurdo Ramirez Fight Card

Main Card (DAZN PPV / Amazon Prime Video – 8:00 pm ET)

Prelims (Free on First on Prime – 5:30 pm ET)

Benavidez vs Zurdo Odds

Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Benavidez vs Zurdo fight.

David Benavidez is a -500 moneyline favorite at Bet365, giving him an 83.3% implied probability of winning tonight. Zurdo Ramirez comes back as a +400 underdog with a 20% implied chance.

The method of victory odds tell a clear story. Benavidez by decision is the shortest price on the board at -125, while his stoppage line sits at +275. Zurdo has never been knocked out in 49 professional fights, so the market expects this to go long.

That’s also backed up by the over/under. Most books have the O/U at 11.5 rounds with the over heavily favored around -310. Both fighters are durable and methodical. Don’t expect fireworks early.

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Benavidez vs Zurdo Bet365 Bet Boost

• Monsters, Inc. SGP: Benavidez by Decision or Technical Decision + Benavidez 1+ Knockdowns (+550 at Bet365)

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SBD has teamed up with Bet365 on a “Monsters, Inc.” bet boost for the Benavidez vs Zurdo main event, bumping this same-game parlay from +500 up to +550. It combines Benavidez winning on the scorecards and scoring at least one knockdown along the way.

Both legs have a case. Benavidez by decision is already the shortest method of victory price on the board at -125, and Zurdo has never been stopped in 49 professional fights. This fight is expected to go long.

The knockdown leg is where the value comes in. Benavidez has 25 knockouts in 31 fights and is a relentless pressure fighter who breaks opponents down over 12 rounds. Zurdo is durable, but he’s hittable on the inside and has never faced anyone who works the body like Benavidez. Even if Zurdo survives to the final bell, Benavidez should be able to put him on the canvas at least once.

Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Benavidez vs Zurdo fight. Sign up for DAZN to watch the fight live.

The post Benavidez vs Zurdo: Fight Time, Where to Watch, Undercard and Full Fight Card appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Naoya Inoue defends his undisputed super bantamweight titles against Junto Nakatani at the Tokyo Dome tonight
• Both fighters enter with identical 32-0 records in the biggest fight in Japanese boxing history
• Keep reading for the Inoue vs Nakatani start time, how to watch on DAZN, full undercard, odds and an exclusive Bet365 bet boost

Two undefeated fighters. Identical 32-0 records. Four world titles on the line. Naoya “The Monster” Inoue faces fellow Japanese star Junto “Big Bang” Nakatani tonight in front of a sold-out crowd of 55,000 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan. It’s being called the biggest boxing event in Japanese history, and it’s hard to argue otherwise.

Because this card takes place in Japan, US fans will need to set an early alarm. For our full breakdown of the fight, check out our Inoue vs Nakatani prediction and odds piece.

• Inoue vs Nakatani Start Time
• How to Watch Inoue vs Nakatani
• Inoue vs Nakatani Undercard
• Inoue vs Nakatani Odds
• Inoue vs Nakatani Bet365 Bet Boost

Inoue vs Nakatani Start Time

The Inoue vs Nakatani main card starts at 4:00 pm JST in Japan, which translates to 3:00 am ET and 12:00 am PT in the United States. Ring walks for the main event are projected after the undercard wraps up, somewhere around 9:00 pm JST (8:00 am ET).

All times beyond the main card start are approximate and depend on how long the earlier fights last. If you’re in the US, it’s worth setting an alarm for 7:00 am ET to catch the build-up before ring walks.

How to Watch Inoue vs Nakatani

The Inoue vs Nakatani fight streams live on DAZN worldwide. In the US, you’ll need an active DAZN subscription or a PPV add-on to access the card.

Monthly plans start at $19.99 on a 12-month contract or $29.99 month-to-month. In the UK, a monthly flexible pass runs £25.99 or you can grab an annual plan for £119.99. Sign up for DAZN here to watch the fight live.

DAZN is available on smart TVs, phones, tablets, streaming devices, gaming consoles and web browsers. Japanese viewers can watch the entire event for free through the Lemino streaming platform.

Inoue vs Nakatani Undercard

The Inoue vs Nakatani undercard features a stacked co-main event between Naoya’s younger brother Takuma Inoue and four-division champion Kazuto Ioka. Ioka, 37, is trying to become the first Japanese fighter to win titles in five weight classes. That alone would be worth waking up for.

Inoue vs Nakatani Odds

Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Inoue vs Nakatani fight.

Inoue is a -400 moneyline favorite at Bet365, carrying an 80% implied probability of keeping his belts tonight. Nakatani comes back as a +275 underdog with a 26.7% implied chance of pulling off the upset.

The method of victory odds are worth a closer look. Inoue is +130 to win by stoppage and +160 on points, which is much closer than you’d normally see for a fighter this heavily favored.

The fight going the full 12 rounds is listed at -120 on both sides at Bet365. That’s a true coin flip, and it lines up with what we know about both guys. Inoue has 27 knockouts in 32 wins, but Nakatani has never been stopped and has serious power of his own with 24 KOs. For a deeper look at all the props, check out our Inoue vs Nakatani props breakdown.

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Inoue vs Nakatani Bet365 Bet Boost

• Way of the Samurai SGP: Inoue by KO/TKO/DQ + Inoue 1+ Knockdowns + Under 10.5 Rounds (+180 at Bet365)

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SBD has teamed up with Bet365 on a “Way of the Samurai” bet boost for the Inoue vs Nakatani main event, bumping this same-game parlay from +170 up to +180. It combines Inoue winning by stoppage, scoring at least one knockdown and the fight ending before round 11.

All three legs connect. Inoue has 27 knockouts in 32 fights and has dropped opponents regularly at super bantamweight. Nakatani has never been stopped, but he’s also never faced anyone close to Inoue’s level.

His December debut at 122 pounds was a grind against Sebastian Hernandez, and he looked hittable in spots. Inoue’s hand speed and power should create knockdown opportunities, especially in the middle rounds when Nakatani starts loading up on his uppercuts and leaving himself open.

The under 10.5 rounds leg is the tightest part of this parlay. The full 12 rounds market is a dead-even -120 on both sides at Bet365, so the market is split on whether this goes the distance. If Inoue hurts him early, expect him to pour it on.

Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Inoue vs Nakatani fight. Sign up for DAZN to watch the fight live.

The post Inoue vs Nakatani Start Time, How to Watch, Odds and Bet365 Bet Boost appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani props are live to bet ahead of Saturday’s championship fight.
• My prime prop to target is Inoue by KO/TKO/DQ to win the fight.
• Check out the best Inoue vs Nakatani fight props and odds, including whether the Monster gets the elusive KO.

The Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani fight is being hyped as one of the year’s best before it even takes place. It seems ideal as two undefeated Japanese champions go toe-to-toe in this bout early Saturday morning (around 8:00 am ET).

Inoue, the four-time World champion (twice undisputed in different divisions), is a big favorite on the moneyline, now at -400 on DraftKings (-410 via FanDuel and -500 via Caesars). As always, more options tip the scales from the props. Once more, the prop market always delivers for us at the most crucial time.

Here are some Inoue vs Nakatani prop bets and odds for this colossal fight from the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan.

Inoue vs Nakatani Method of Victory Props

All odds at DraftKings as of May 1. Check out the DraftKings promo code before wagering on the Inoue vs Nakatani fight.

With the latest updates, the numbers still lean on Inoue to stay undefeated. It appears that this fight will not go the distance as Nakatani wants to put on a show. Does that leave him open later in the fight? This is one to take a chance with Inoue still at +110 via DraftKings for the KO/TKO/DQ. Again, the challenger is also 32-0 and is desperate to take down one of the pound-for-pound kings.

The public gets absorbed into fights like this one. That is where Inoue thrives in the super bantamweight division. Online sportsbooks saw little movement here. Again, seeing that Caesar’s number may lead the public to throw a few more dollars on Nakatani (+380 moneyline at Caesars at press time).

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Inoue vs Nakatani Total Rounds Props

Yes, as Brady Trettenero wrote earlier in the week, there are plenty of aspects to consider in this fight. Nakatani has two advantages over Inoue. He is three inches taller, and Nakatani is a Southpaw. Inoue has looked a little unsteady at times against Southpaws, but sometimes comes up with his most brilliant performances (err, comebacks), too. Almost two years ago, Luis Nery put Inoue on the deck, and the Japanese champion came back, knocked the Mexican fighter down three times and secured a sixth-round KO.

I believe the Under is winning the rounds props without hesitation. At -110, it baffles me that this goes the full 12 rounds. Sure, it can, but Inoue was visibly irate after his last fight. This is one to jump on and maybe one of the alternates (say Under 9.5 if this opens up).

You know the nature of the two fighters well. This fight will be entertaining, but I like the attacker (err, Monster) in this kind of fight. Nakatani harnesses his power through combos and counters. Inoue wants to keep the pace up and attack by poking, prodding, then striking. Yes, Inoue can get caught, but Nakatani arguably becomes more vulnerable to Inoue’s hand speed when he attempts to counter.

Bring On More Inoue vs Nakatani Bets

Inoue vs Nakatani Moneyline

Honestly, there are better options than the moneyline. As we mentioned, the Nakatani moneyline is worth a look at +380 via Caesars, but does that last much longer? It’s a great question.

The intriguing part of this bout is how the flow of the fight goes. Will these two fighters play cat and mouse, or will they go toe-to-toe from the beginning? Inoue has tried to fight a little “safer” in his last few fights. That is not his style. The champion figures to go after Nakatani and is desperate to put on a show. Nakatani wants to take the Monster out and does not want it to go to the scorecards. This sets up to be the highest level of entertainment.

Do not forget that DAZN carries the fight, and the whole card too, on their standard (not PPV) package. For those on the East Coast, this fight takes place around breakfast. A few wagers for the road include that Round 7-9 group bet for Inoue at +340 via DraftKings. The other involves picking Inoue and 2+ knockdowns (now at +175). We have seen how fighters like David Benavidez and Shakur Stevenson counter specialists.

I believe Naoya Inoue gets the knockout he has been missing on Saturday. Good luck, and don’t forget to scope out the best online sportsbook options before puck drop on this Inoue vs Nakatani showdown.

The post Inoue vs Nakatani Fight Props & Odds – Will the Monster KO Nakatani? appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Naoya Inoue defends his undisputed junior featherweight title on Saturday versus Junto Nakatani
• This bout is considered the biggest fight in Japanese boxing history
• Check out the Inoue vs Nakatani latest odds, plus my expert prediction and pick

A fight of epic proportions goes down early Saturday morning, as Naoya Inoue defends his junior featherweight title versus pound-for-pound superstar Junto Nakatani. Both men boast identical 32-0 records, with Nakatani looking to become only the second four-division champion ever out of Japan.

To do so, Nakatani will have to overcome a heavy underdog status. Inoue is currently listed as a -400 favorite, with his opponent coming back as a +300 underdog. Inoue is also +110 to knockout his countryman and +175 to win by decision. That ladder line has my attention, and will be the bet I’m targeting in this clash of champions.

This junior featherweight tilt will take place at 8 am ET, 5 am PT inside the Tokyo Dome, in Tokyo, Japan, with Dazn providing streaming coverage.

Keep reading for the latest Inoue vs Nakatani odds, plus my expert prediction and pick.

Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani Latest Odds

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If you want to tail my Inoue by decision bet make sure you visit Bet365. The sportsbooks is currently offering the wager at +175 odds, which is by far the best price in market.

If Nakatani is going to pull off the upset he’ll likely have to knock out his opponent because he’s not going to out-box him. The underdog is +650 to win by KO/TKO or DQ, and while Inoue has never been finished, he has been knocked down twice in recent fights.

Inoue vs Nakatani Expert Prediction and Pick

• Inoue by Decision (+175 at Bet365)

Saturday’s fight will go down as the biggest boxing match in Japanese history. Inoue is considered one of the best to ever lace up the gloves at his size, and no one will argue that he’s not the superior boxer. He’ll enter the ring with a career 84% knockout rate, but the size of Nakatani and Inoue’s recent change in strategy suggests a KO isn’t likely.

Tale of the Tape

Nakatani stands 3 inches taller than Inoue, with a massive frame for the junior featherweight division. Inoue’s power is most devastating when he can bully smaller opponents or catch them coming in, but Nakatani has an extremely durable chin, having only been dropped once in his career. His ability to use his length to his advantage by peppering his jab will likely force Inoue into a chess match rather than a brawl, making a knockout tough to score.

As for Inoue’s last two outings against David Picasso and Ramon Cardenas, he’s shown a greater willingness to box conservatively and win rounds. In bouts against larger opponents, Inoue’s punches haven’t devastated his foes like they did earlier in his career. Versus a talent like Nakatani, I expect Inoue to prioritize defensive responsibility and strategy.

Another reason to doubt a knockout, is the fact that Nakatani’s footwork is elite, and he won’t crumble under the early pressure like some of Inoue’s previous opponents. The longer the fight goes, the less likely Nakatani is to be knocked out.

By focusing on scoring points with combinations and body blows that can neutralize Nakatani’s size advantage, Inoue can score a win on the judge’s cards. He can avoid taking the kinds of risks required to finish his bigger, stronger, opponent, and can rely instead on his superior boxing skills and tactical awareness.

The post Inoue vs Nakatani Latest Odds, Expert Prediction & Pick appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• The Inoue vs Nakatani odds favor “The Monster” to defend his undisputed super bantamweight title on Saturday, May 2
• Both fighters enter the ring 32-0 in front of a sold-out crowd at the Tokyo Dome
• See below for my early Inoue vs Nakatani prediction, odds, date details and undercard

One of the biggest fights in Japanese boxing history goes down this Saturday at the Tokyo Dome, where Naoya Inoue (32-0) defends his undisputed super bantamweight crown against Junto Nakatani (32-0).

Both men are top-10 pound-for-pound fighters, but online sportsbooks have made Inoue a sizeable -450 favorite to keep his belts. I expect “The Monster” to find the finish in the second half.

The card streams worldwide on DAZN, with main event ring walks projected after the undercard. We have all the details and our Inoue vs Nakatani prediction below.

Jump to: Prediction | Odds | Props | Tale of the Tape | Undercard | Date & How to Watch

Inoue vs Nakatani Prediction

• Naoya Inoue to win by KO/TKO or DQ (+100 at BetMGM)

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Inoue is the rightful favorite. He’s defending the undisputed 122-pound title for the seventh time and has a 25-0 record in true world title fights. Nakatani has only one fight at this weight, and it was harder than expected.

That December bout against Sebastian Hernandez exposed something. Nakatani is brilliant at distance, but Hernandez’s pressure dragged him into deep water and he couldn’t hurt his man.

Nakatani also doesn’t fight behind a real guard. He relies on reflexes and counters, which has worked at lower weights against fighters who can’t punish his mistakes. Inoue can punish them, and his body work might be the most underrated part of his game.

TJ Doheny, Stephen Fulton and Alan Picasso all ended up folded around the ribs against him. Nakatani’s weakest area is the inside game, which is where Inoue does his best work.

I’m not dismissing Nakatani. He’s three inches taller, has a one-inch reach edge, is five years younger and fights southpaw, which has historically given Inoue trouble. The straight left to the body, the same shot that knocked out Vincent Astrolabio, is a real threat.

If Nakatani can keep this fight at long range, he should win some rounds. I just don’t think he can keep it there for 12. Inoue is the best mid-fight adjuster at this level since prime Terence Crawford.

Nakatani has never been knocked down as a pro, so we don’t know how he’d react to adversity. I expect a competitive first half before Inoue starts to figure things out. Somewhere between the eighth and eleventh round, he should find the finish.

Inoue vs Nakatani Odds

Odds at BetMGM. Get the BetMGM bonus code to use on the Inoue vs Nakatani fight.

Inoue is currently a -450 moneyline favorite at BetMGM, giving him an 81.8% implied probability of winning. Nakatani comes back at +300 (25%), with a draw priced at +1600 (5.9%).

The method of victory market is more interesting. Inoue by KO/TKO is priced at +100 and his decision win is +175, meaning the books expect a stoppage despite Inoue winning his last two on the cards.

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Inoue vs Nakatani Props

• Naoya Inoue to win in Rounds 7-9 (+333 at BetMGM)
• Naoya Inoue by Unanimous Decision (+250 at BetMGM)

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Rounds 7-9 is where I’d expect this fight to swing. Nakatani should frustrate Inoue early with his length, and then Inoue should figure out the timing and start working downstairs. +333 is solid value if you believe in a late stoppage.

If you’d rather hedge against Nakatani actually surviving the championship rounds, Inoue by unanimous decision at +250 is worth a look. He’s gone the distance in three of his last four, and Nakatani is durable enough to potentially hear the final bell.

Inoue vs Nakatani Tale of the Tape

This is a rare fight where two top-10 pound-for-pound fighters meet at their physical peaks. Inoue is ranked #2 by The Ring and Nakatani is #6. If the challenger pulls the upset, he’ll likely jump to the top of the rankings.

Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani

Inoue is a four-division world champion and one of just three men to hold undisputed status in two weight classes during the four-belt era, joining Terence Crawford and Oleksandr Usyk. This is his seventh defense at 122.

Nakatani is a three-division champion who vacated his bantamweight titles to chase this fight. He moved up in December and beat Sebastian Hernandez by unanimous decision, but it was a much tougher night than expected.

Inoue vs Nakatani Undercard

The co-feature has its own pound-for-pound stakes. Naoya’s younger brother Takuma Inoue defends his WBC bantamweight title against four-division champion Kazuto Ioka, who’s chasing a fifth-division title that no Japanese fighter has accomplished.

• Naoya Inoue (c) vs Junto Nakatani – Undisputed super bantamweight title
• Takuma Inoue (c) vs Kazuto Ioka – WBC bantamweight title
• Toshiki Shimomachi vs Reiya Abe – Featherweight
• Sora Tanaka vs Jin Sasaki – Welterweight
• Kosuke Tomioka vs Shogo Tanaka – Flyweight
• Deok No Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki – Super middleweight
• Yoshiki Takei vs Dekang Wang – Super bantamweight

Inoue vs Nakatani Date & How to Watch

The Inoue vs Nakatani fight date is Saturday, May 2, with the card beginning at 2 am ET (11 pm PT Friday) on DAZN. Main event ring walks are projected after the undercard, with most outlets pegging the timing around 8 am ET.

DAZN is included with a standard subscription in the US and most international markets, so this isn’t a separate pay-per-view. The card is also being shown in over 100 cinemas across Japan.

The post Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani Prediction, Odds, Date and How to Watch Tokyo Dome Showdown appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov props are live to bet ahead of tonight’s championship bout.
• My favorite prop to target is Fury by knockout to win the fight.
• Check out the best Fury vs Makhmudov prop bets and odds – including will Fury get that KO.

The Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov fight is being tagged as a battle between the old warrior and a bit of a reclamation project. It seems poetic that the bout occurs in the stadium where Tottenham Hotspur plays. The loser of this bout will be relegated one way or the other. 

Fury, the former World champion, is a huge favorite on the moneyline, now at -600 on DraftKings (-650 via FanDuel and Caesars). There are even more options depending on the props when it comes to better odds. Thankfully, that props market always delivers for us when we need it the most.

Here are some Fury vs Makhmudov prop bets and odds for this main event.

Fury vs Makhmudov Method of Victory Props

All odds at DraftKings as of April 11. Read our DraftKings Review before wagering on the Fury vs Makhmudov fight. 

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Given the updates, the numbers lean heavily on Tyson Fury to win in yet another return. It appears going too bold is not a viable strategy, but as far as a knockout, this is one to take a chance with Fury at -165 via DraftKings. Makhmudov will likely not grind out a decision in the championship rounds. That is the idea.

The public craves intrigue and drama. That is where Fury reigns supreme in the heavyweight division. Online sportsbooks saw Fury’s moneyline numbers go down to -550 on the moneyline, but have moved back since. Again, seeing those late Caesars and FanDuel numbers makes one wonder.

Fury vs Makhmudov Total Rounds Props

Yes, as Brady Trettenero wrote earlier on Saturday, there is something obvious to consider. Fury towers over Makhmudov. He is four inches taller and holds a whopping nine-inch reach advantage. Fury can utilize that powerful jab to set up the bigger, power shots. Makhmudov has been knocked out in two of his previous five fights, and even against David Allen, he looked pretty vulnerable. 

I believe the Under is winning the rounds props without hesitation. At -105, it surprises me that the number is so close to Even here. Maybe it gets there by fight time, but right now, take it and run quickly.

You will have a touch argument that a unanimous decision is worth a shot. This fight will be entertaining, but I like Fury in the middle rounds if he can connect early against Makhmudov. Fury will come in with a load of adrenaline and he will want to be more active than his last two fights against Oleksandr Usyk. Expect something more than single-digit punches landed per round, especially early. 

Even More Fury vs Makhmudov Bets

Honestly, there are several more options to consider when betting on this fight. As we mentioned, if Fury wins, we believe in an early outcome, and if Makhmudov wins, it will again not go close to the distance. Makhmudov has nabbed 13 of his 19 knockouts very early. The 36-year-old has his own cracking jab and some hard uppercuts and hooks. With the heavyweight division, sometimes it feels like anything can happen.

Bluntly, Fury cannot play around here. A KO for the Gypsy King between Rounds 4-6 is rolling in at +450, while the early Rounds 1-3 is now only +1000. The chances of a Fury decision seem to be all but faded, but again, the same can be said about Makhmudov. If one is wondering about the Under of 7.5 rounds, that is currently +130. The other straight option is Tyson Fury by KO at +230. I would ponder that as well. 

Do not forget that Netflix carries the fight and the whole card too. And the two pugilists will get into the ring around dinnertime on the East Cost (before 11pm London time). One last possible wager is a fun one. Makhmudov could get knocked down very early. At +275 via DraftKings, one can play this a little safe with an early knockdown of either fighter within the first three rounds. 

I believe Tyson Fury will get that early knockout he craves on Saturday night. Good luck tonight, and let’s rumble!

The post Fury vs Makhmudov Prop Bets & Odds – Will “Gypsy King” Deliver Knockout? appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Tyson Fury is a -550 favorite over Arslanbek Makhmudov in Saturday’s heavyweight tilt on Netflix
• Fury has never been knocked out in 37 career fights
• See below for my Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov prediction, plus the odds and tale of the tape

Tyson Fury returns to the ring on Saturday night for the first time in nearly a year and a half. By my count, this will be the fifth time he has come out of retirement, this time with the prerogative to “make boxing great again”.

Fury’s opponent for his latest comeback will be fellow giant Arslanbek Makhmudov, but online sportsbooks don’t give the ladder much of a chance. They’ve pegged Fury as a massive favorite, not expecting Makhmudov to impose much damage on the Gypsy King.

I’m aligned with that line of thinking, and have found an alternative market to bet Fury in which I believe carries a lot of value. Ring entrances for this bout are expected to take place around 5 pm ET from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, with Netflix providing the broadcast coverage.

Keep reading for my favorite Fury vs Makhmudov prediction below, plus the odds and tale of the tape.

Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov Prediction

• Tyson Fury to win in Rds 7-12 (+175 at Bet365)

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I’m betting Fury to win tonight some time in rounds 7 through 12. Despite his knockout prowess, Makmudov is viewed as a soft landing spot for Fury, and everything about this fight is set up to make Fury’s latest comeback a success. His opponent was hand picked, someone with credibility but not the profile of someone who’ll give Fury trouble. The bout will also take place in his own backyard, with an entire stadium in his corner.

There are not many men on the planet that can make the 6’6″ Makmudov look small. It just so happens that Fury is one of them. Fury will enter the ring standing a full 3 inches taller than his opponent, with a massive 9 inch reach edge.

Much smaller opponents have given Fury trouble in the past, but he’s always handled fellow giants with relative ease. Their slow, prodding style has allowed him to stay out of harm’s way, and as long as he can dodge Makhumudov’s early pressure, the Gypsy King should cruise to victory.

Tale of the Tape

Makhumodov, who’s best known for a fighting a bear, has a history of starting fast and fading after the fourth or fifth round. His chin is questionable and he’s very vulnerable to being knocked down. We’ve seen that he’s especially susceptible to body shots, and Fury’s surprising cat like quickness can put him in position to hurt his opponent downstairs.

Fury’s conditioning is also incredible for a man of his size, as he’s someone who seems to gain strength as the rounds progress. He’s much more technically sound than his opponent, and his masterful defense will fend off Makhmudov’s haymakers with little difficulty, preventing him from getting too close to pose any real threat.

Don’t forget, Fury has never been knocked out in 37 career fights. That won’t change against a one-trick pony like Makhumdov, as the Gypsy King will simply toy with him for the first handful of rounds, while he waits for his opponent’s stamina to disappear. From there, Fury can land the knockout blow, turning back the clock one more time in front of his home fans.

That puts a knockout in the second half of the fight very much in play, which is why I’m betting Fury wins between rounds 7-12. Bet365 is boosting that wager from +162 odds to +175, making this bet a no brainer decision.

Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov Odds

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Odds as of April 10 at DraftKings. Check out the top US betting sites to bet on Fury vs Makhmudov.

As for the main Fury vs Arslanbek odds, the Gypsy King will enter as a -550 moneyline favorite, with his opponent coming back as a +350 underdog. Fury has -175 odds to knock out Makhumdov, a feat that’s been done twice before, while Fury to win by decision offers a +360 pay out.

The post Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov Prediction, Odds & Tale of the Tape appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Conor Benn is a -1600 favorite against Regis Prograis on Saturday, April 11
• This 150-pound catchweight fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London
• See below for Benn vs Prograis prediction, odds, start time and how to watch

Conor Benn (24-1) faces former two-time super lightweight champion Regis Prograis (30-3) on Saturday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. This is Benn’s first fight since leaving Matchroom for Zuffa Boxing, and he’s a massive favorite to keep the momentum rolling.

Below you’ll find my Benn vs Prograis prediction, the latest odds, and how to watch.

Benn vs Prograis Prediction

• Conor Benn by TKO (-120 at Bet365)

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Benn should win this fight, and I expect a referee stoppage rather than a clean knockout. He’s bigger, younger, and far more active than Prograis at this stage of their careers.

The size advantage matters here. Benn weighed in at 149.5 pounds after coming down from middleweight. Prograis came in at 148.1 after spending his entire career at 140 pounds. This is the first time Prograis has ever fought above super lightweight, and jumping up 10 pounds at 37 years old is a tough ask.

Prograis has looked vulnerable in recent fights. Devin Haney dropped him with a flash knockdown. Jack Catterall dropped him twice. Jo Jo Diaz had him on shaky legs in the opening round of their fight last August. Father Time is catching up.

Benn showed real growth in his rematch with Chris Eubank Jr. He fought a smarter, more disciplined fight the second time around and dominated over 12 rounds. He listens to his corner and makes adjustments, which is a good sign against a crafty veteran like Prograis.

The conditioning should favor Benn as well. He’s phenomenal in the later rounds while Prograis has shown balance issues and fading legs in recent outings. I expect Benn to apply constant pressure, overwhelm Prograis with volume, and force the referee to step in sometime after round 5.

Benn vs Prograis Odds

Benn is a -1600 moneyline favorite at Bet365. That means you’d need to bet $1600 to win $100. Prograis comes back at +750 as a heavy underdog.

Those -1600 odds give Benn roughly a 94% implied probability to win. The books see this as a mismatch, and the method of victory odds back that up. Benn by KO/TKO is -275, while Benn by decision sits at +300. The expectation is a stoppage.

Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Benn vs Prograis fight.

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Benn vs Prograis Tale of the Tape

The physical differences are minimal on paper, but Benn is the naturally bigger fighter. He’s been competing at middleweight while Prograis has never fought above 140 pounds until now.

Conor Benn vs Regis Prograis

Prograis has the higher knockout percentage at 80% compared to Benn’s 58%. But that power was built at 140 pounds against smaller opponents. At 150, he’s the one dealing with a size disadvantage for the first time in his career.

Benn vs Prograis Start Time & How to Watch

Benn vs Prograis takes place on Saturday, April 11 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. The main card starts at 2 pm ET on Netflix, with ring walks for Benn vs Prograis expected around 4:30 pm ET.

The fight is included with a Netflix subscription at no extra cost. The main event features Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov, with ring walks expected around 5:30 pm ET.

The post Conor Benn vs Regis Prograis Prediction, Odds, Start Time & How to Watch (Apr. 11) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov goes down tonight at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London
• The entire card streams live on Netflix with no extra pay-per-view charge
• See below for Fury vs Makhmudov start time, undercard, how to watch, odds and an SBD boost at Bet365

Tyson Fury (34-2-1) is back. The Gypsy King ends 16 months on the sidelines tonight when he faces Russian-born knockout artist Arslanbek Makhmudov (21-2) in front of nearly 67,000 fans at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in North London. It’s Fury’s first fight on home soil since he beat Derek Chisora at this same venue in December 2022.

Below you’ll find the Fury vs Makhmudov start time across every timezone, the full undercard, how to watch on Netflix, the latest odds and an exclusive SBD boost at Bet365 for the main event.

Fury vs Makhmudov Start Time

The main card kicks off at 7:00 pm BST in the UK, which is 2:00 pm ET and 11:00 am PT in the United States. Fury and Makhmudov are projected to make their ring walks after the undercard, somewhere around 10:00 pm BST (5:00 pm ET).

How to Watch Fury vs Makhmudov

The entire Fury vs Makhmudov card streams live on Netflix worldwide with no pay-per-view fee on top of your existing subscription. Netflix plans start at $8.99/month in the US for the ad-supported tier and £6 in the UK. The prelims are also available for free on The Ring’s YouTube channel and Netflix’s Tudum platform.

Netflix has put together a stacked broadcast crew for the show. Lennox Lewis, Laila Ali and Carl Froch will handle desk duties, while Mauro Ranallo, David Haye and Andre Ward call the action.

Fury vs Makhmudov Undercard

The Fury vs Makhmudov undercard is headlined by a big co-main event between Conor Benn and former two-time super lightweight champion Regis Prograis at a 150-pound catchweight. It’s Benn’s first fight since leaving Matchroom for a one-fight deal with Dana White’s Zuffa Boxing.

Fury vs Makhmudov Odds

Tyson Fury is a heavy -600 moneyline favorite at Bet365, giving him an 85.7% implied probability of beating Makhmudov tonight. The Russian comes back as a +400 underdog with a 20% implied chance of pulling off the upset. Fury is also -225 to win inside the distance and +300 to take it on the cards.

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Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Fury vs Makhmudov fight.

Fury vs Makhmudov SBD Boost at Bet365

• Comeback King SGP: Fury by KO/TKO/DQ + 2 or More Total Knockdowns + Under 7.5 Rounds (+500 at Bet365)

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SBD has teamed up with Bet365 on an exclusive same-game parlay boost for Fury’s return, taking the price from +450 up to +500. The “Comeback King” SBD boost combines Fury winning by KO, TKO or DQ with at least two total knockdowns in the fight and the bout ending under 7.5 rounds.

I like this one. Fury is a -600 favorite on the moneyline, and Makhmudov’s stoppage vulnerability is well documented. The Russian has been knocked out in two of his last five fights, including a stoppage loss to Agit Kabayel and a corner retirement against Guido Vianello after his eye was closed by round three.

Makhmudov can crack too, with 13 of his 19 knockouts coming inside the opening round. That gives this boost a real shot at hitting the knockdown leg early. At 6’9″ with an 85-inch reach, Fury holds a four-inch height edge and a near nine-inch reach advantage. Expect him to use the jab to set up power shots and look to get Makhmudov out of there before round eight.

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• Deontay Wilder vs Derek Chisora props are live ahead of Saturday’s heavyweight tilt
• My favorite prop to target is Wilder by KO/TKO/DQ
• Check out the Wilder vs Chisora props below, including expert picks for method of victory, total rounds and more

It’s the end of an era on Saturday, as Derek Chisora will step into the ring for the last time. The 42-year-old will take on Deontay Wilder, who’s no spring chicken himself, with Wilder still holding onto hopes of getting another title shot.

The former longtime WBC heavyweight champ desperately needs a victory over Chisora to get himself back in the title conversation, and despite online sportsbooks siding against him, I’m convinced he’s going to get the job done.

This heavyweight tilt will take place in London, at the O2 arena, with Dazn providing streaming coverage. The undercard gets underway at 2pm ET, with Wilder and Chisora projected to enter the ring around 5 pm ET.

Keep reading for my favorite Wilder vs Chisora props, including my expert picks for method of victory, total rounds and more.

Wilder vs Chisora Method of Victory

My favorite bet for this fight is Wilder to win by knockout. Few boxers in the history of the sport have one-punch power as devastating as the former champ’s, and his knockout percentage is the stuff of legends.

Chisora meanwhile, has been knocked out more than a few times in his career, and I expect him to let his guard down as fatigue sets in over the final few rounds. That’s when Wilder can strike, and score the finishing blow.

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Odds as of April 3 at DraftKings. Check out the top US betting sites for Wilder vs Chisora prop bets.

Deontay Wilder vs Derek Chisora Props

• Deontay Wilder to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+210 at DraftKings)
• Deontay Wilder to Win and Under 1.5 Knockdowns (+320 at DraftKings)
• Over 8.5 Rounds (-115 at DraftKings)

Wilder sports a career 97.72% knockout rate, which is the best all-time in the history of the heavyweight division.

He stands a full 5 inches taller than Chisora, and boasts a 9 inch reach advantage. That’s devastating for Chisora, who wants to get in tight and throw punches at point blank range. Wilder should be able to fend him off with the jab, and bide his time while trying to create space for the knockout blow.

Wilder vs Chisora Total Rounds

Chisora has the tendency to start out with his hair on fire, before slowing down as the rounds progress. If he can’t get in close and take out Wilder early, his chances for success dramatically decrease.

The 42-year-old is a competent opponent but there’s a reason why he’s never been the heavyweight champ. He’s only effective when he can dictate the bout, and that simply won’t happen against a bigger, more powerful fighter like Wilder.

Tale of the Tape

The reason he’s earning favorite status is because the betting public has been discouraged by Wilder’s recent efforts. He’s looked timid over his last few fights, losing twice, and taking far too long to finish a lesser opponent in Tyrrell Herndon.

But while this is Chisora’s last fight, it can also be Wilder’s final opportunity to prove he’s worthy of a title bout. If he loses, he’s unlikely to get another shot at the belt which signals to me we’re going to get a much more inspired effort.

Chisora has never been one to walk into an opponent’s fist, so I don’t expect him to go down multiple times. When Wilder does drop him, it will be late in the fight when his opponent is already gassed, drastically reducing the likelihood that he gets back to his feet.

The post Deontay Wilder vs Derek Chisora Props – Expert Picks For Method of Victory, Total Rounds & More appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Derek Chisora is a -190 favorite against Deontay Wilder on Saturday, April 4
• This is Chisora’s 50th and final professional fight at the O2 Arena in London
• See below for Chisora vs Wilder prediction, odds, start time and how to watch

Derek Chisora (36-13) faces Deontay Wilder (44-4-1) in his 50th and final professional fight on Saturday at the O2 Arena in London. Both heavyweights are in the twilight of their careers, but Chisora enters on a three-fight win streak while Wilder has gone 2-4 since 2020.

Below you’ll find my Chisora vs Wilder prediction, the latest odds, and how to watch.

Chisora vs Wilder Prediction

• Derek Chisora by KO/TKO (+125 at BetMGM)

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Chisora should win this fight, and I expect him to get the stoppage. Wilder’s decline has been steep since the Tyson Fury trilogy, and Chisora’s pressure style is exactly what gives him problems.

The numbers paint a rough picture for Wilder. He’s gone 2-4 since 2020, with his only wins coming against Robert Helenius and Tyrrell Herndon. Against Joseph Parker, he threw just 204 punches over 12 rounds and landed only 39. Against Zhilei Zhang, he connected on 16 of 95 before getting stopped in round five.

Wilder has looked gunshy in recent fights. He freezes up against pressure fighters, and Chisora is nothing but pressure. He’s going to march forward with his hands high and make Wilder uncomfortable from the opening bell.

Chisora has momentum on his side. He’s won three straight over Gerald Washington, Joe Joyce, and Otto Wallin. At 42, he’s defied Father Time and still looks competitive. This is his retirement fight at home in London, and he’s motivated to go out on a high note.

Wilder still has that right hand, and he’s dangerous until the final bell. But he needs space to set it up, and Chisora won’t give him any. I expect Chisora to wear him down with body shots and inside work before getting the stoppage in the middle rounds.

Chisora vs Wilder Odds

Chisora is a -190 moneyline favorite at BetMGM. That means you’d need to bet $190 to win $100. Wilder comes back at +140 as the underdog.

Those -190 odds give Chisora roughly a 66% implied probability to win. Wilder sits around 42% to pull off the upset in his first London fight since 2013.

The method of victory odds favor a Chisora knockout at +125. Wilder by KO/TKO is priced at +220. The books expect this to end inside the distance, with “fight to go 12 rounds” sitting at +160.

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Chisora vs Wilder Tale of the Tape

Wilder has significant physical advantages with five inches in height and nine inches in reach. But Chisora has dealt with bigger fighters his entire career, including Vitali Klitschko, Oleksandr Usyk, and Tyson Fury three times.

Derek Chisora vs Deontay Wilder

Chisora weighed in at a career-high 266.7 pounds. Wilder came in at 226.4, giving Chisora a 40-pound weight advantage. That extra size should help him bully Wilder on the inside, where he does his best work.

Chisora vs Wilder Start Time & How to Watch

Chisora vs Wilder takes place on Saturday, April 4 at the O2 Arena in London. The main card starts at 2 pm ET on DAZN PPV, with ring walks for the main event expected around 5:26 pm ET.

The PPV costs $49.99 in the US through DAZN. A DAZN subscription is required to purchase the pay-per-view. The co-main event features Viddal Riley vs Mateusz Masternak for the European cruiserweight title.

The post Derek Chisora vs Deontay Wilder Prediction, Odds, Start Time & How to Watch appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Sebastian Fundora is a -375 favorite against Keith Thurman on Saturday, March 28
• This is a WBC super welterweight title fight at MGM Grand in Las Vegas
• See below for the latest Fundora vs Thurman odds, prediction, props and how to watch

Sebastian Fundora (23-1-1) defends his WBC super welterweight title against former unified champion Keith Thurman (31-1) on Saturday night at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Fundora is a heavy favorite, and I think the books have this one right.

I’ve broken down the latest Fundora vs Thurman odds below, plus my prediction, best props and how to watch.

Fundora vs Thurman Odds

Fundora is a -375 moneyline favorite at BetMGM, meaning you’d need to bet $375 to win $100. Thurman is coming back at +250 as the underdog.

Those -375 odds give Fundora about a 79% implied probability to win. The books are giving Thurman roughly a 29% chance to pull off the upset.

Look at the method of victory odds. Fundora by KO/TKO is priced at -120, making a stoppage the most likely outcome. Fundora by decision sits at +260. The books don’t expect this to go 12 rounds.

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Fundora vs Thurman Prediction

• Sebastian Fundora by KO/TKO (-120 at BetMGM)

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Fundora should win this fight, and I don’t think it goes the distance. His size, youth and activity level are too much for Thurman to overcome.

The physical advantages here are ridiculous. Fundora stands 6’5″ with an 80-inch reach. Thurman is 5’8″ with a 69-inch reach. That’s an 11-inch reach difference. Fundora throws punches downward with minimal effort, while Thurman has to work just to get inside.

Thurman’s inactivity is a major concern. He’s had just two fights in the last six years. In 2020, 2021, 2023 and 2024, he didn’t fight at all. You can’t shake off that much rust against a young, active champion.

Keith Thurman Fight History (2019-2025)

Tim Bradley made a good point in his breakdown. If Thurman couldn’t beat a 40-year-old Manny Pacquiao at his peak, how is he supposed to handle a young Fundora? That Pacquiao loss was back in 2019, and Thurman has only looked older since.

Fundora has improved since his knockout loss to Brian Mendoza in 2023. He’s working behind his jab more and using his reach instead of trading on the inside. The Tim Tszyu rematch showed a smarter fighter who sat down on his punches from distance.

Thurman’s path to victory is lateral movement and power shots. He needs to make Fundora chase him, catch him with his hands down, and land something clean. But that’s asking a lot from 37-year-old legs over 12 rounds.

I expect Fundora to start slow, figure out Thurman’s timing, then pour it on in the middle rounds. Thurman should be competitive early, but will fade as the fight goes on. I’m predicting Fundora gets the stoppage between rounds 7 and 10.

Fundora vs Thurman Props

The fight to end within 10 rounds at -110 is better value than the -175 on “not going the distance.” It’s basically even money and lines up with how I see this fight playing out.

If you want to get specific, Fundora in rounds 7-9 at +350 is worth a look. The round group betting shows this as the danger zone for Thurman, with the shortest odds for a finish in that window. That matches my prediction of a mid-to-late stoppage.

For a longshot, Fundora to win after being knocked down at +650 is interesting. He’s been hurt before by Mendoza and Lubin, but kept coming. If Thurman lands something clean early, Fundora has shown he can survive and rally.

Props at BetMGM as of March 27.

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Fundora vs Thurman Tale of the Tape

The size difference here is unlike anything you’ll see in boxing. Fundora has a nine-inch height advantage and 11 inches in reach. Thurman will need to close distance constantly just to be in punching range.

Sebastian Fundora vs Keith Thurman

Thurman has the higher knockout percentage at 74% compared to Fundora’s 65%. But Thurman built that record years ago when he was more active. Fundora has been the one stopping opponents lately, including Tim Tszyu in their rematch last July.

Fundora vs Thurman Start Time & How to Watch

Fundora vs Thurman takes place on Saturday, March 28 at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The main card starts at 8 pm ET on Prime Video PPV, with ring walks for the main event expected around 10 pm ET.

The PPV costs $75 through Amazon Prime Video. Prelims start at 5:30 pm ET and stream free with a Prime membership. The co-main event features Frank Sanchez vs Richard Torrez Jr in an IBF heavyweight eliminator.

The post Sebastian Fundora vs Keith Thurman Odds, Prediction, Props & How to Watch appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• The Navarrete vs Nunez fight time is approximately 11 PM ET tonight on DAZN
• The main card starts at 8 PM ET from Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona
• See below for the full Navarrete vs Nunez fight card, start time by timezone and how to watch

Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez goes down tonight. If you’re looking for the Navarrete vs Nunez fight time, how to watch, and the full card, everything you need is right here.

This is a WBO and IBF super featherweight unification bout from Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona. Navarrete (39-2-1, 32 KOs) puts his WBO belt on the line against Nunez (29-1, 27 KOs), who holds the IBF title. The fight streams exclusively on DAZN with no additional pay-per-view fee.

Jump to: Fight Time | How to Watch | Fight Card | Latest Odds | Tale of the Tape

Navarrete vs Nunez Fight Time

The Navarrete vs Nunez fight time is set for approximately 11:00 PM ET. That’s when ring walks are projected after the undercard wraps up. Some sources put it closer to 11:45 PM ET depending on how fast the earlier fights move.

If you’re wondering what time does the Navarrete fight start, here’s the full breakdown by timezone:

Arizona doesn’t observe Daylight Saving Time, so the local start for the main card is 6:00 PM MST. Plan on the main event running late. Undercard fights can go long, and ring walks always take longer than expected.

How to Watch Navarrete vs Nunez

Where can you watch Navarrete vs Nunez? DAZN. That’s it. This fight is not on ESPN, ESPN+, or traditional pay-per-view. You need a DAZN subscription to watch.

The good news is there’s no extra PPV charge on top of the subscription. A DAZN annual plan runs $20.99 per month, or you can go month-to-month for $30.99. Either way, the entire card is included.

This is Matchroom Boxing’s biggest card of 2026 so far, promoted in association with Top Rank. It’s the first all-Mexican world title fight since Canelo Alvarez beat Jaime Munguia back in May 2024. Matchroom is calling it “The Next King of Mexico.”

To sign up and start watching, click our exclusive DAZN link below and choose your plan. The prelims and main card all stream on the same platform.

>>> Watch Navarrete vs Nunez on DAZN <<<

Navarrete vs Nunez Fight Card

Tonight’s card features a pair of unification belts on the line, two unbeaten fighters squaring off in the co-feature, and a prospect showcase with Emiliano Vargas. Here’s the full lineup:

Main Card (DAZN, 8 PM ET)

• Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez – Super featherweight, 12 rounds (WBO/IBF unification)
• Emiliano Vargas (16-0) vs Agustin Quintana (22-2-1) – Super lightweight, 10 rounds
• Tahmir Smalls (16-0) vs Abel Ramos (28-6-3) – Welterweight, 10 rounds
• Arturo Cardenas (18-0) vs Jordan Martinez (16-0) – Super bantamweight, 10 rounds

Prelims (DAZN, 5:20 PM ET)

• Trini Ochoa (21-0) vs Oscar Alvarez Guerrero (14-2) – Super lightweight, 8 rounds
• Hector Beltran Jr. (6-0) vs Cesar Diaz (10-1) – Super welterweight, 6 rounds
• Phillip Vella (4-0) vs Brayan Ramos Armenta (8-7-1) – Bantamweight, 6 rounds
• Rahman Muhammad (1-0) vs Mitchell McFadden (1-0) – Welterweight, 4 rounds

The Vargas fight is one to keep an eye on. The 21-year-old son of former champion Fernando Vargas is 16-0 with 13 knockouts and faces his toughest opponent yet. He made headlines earlier this month for appearing during Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show.

The Cardenas vs Martinez fight is worth watching too. Combined records of 34-0-1 with 24 knockouts between them. Somebody’s zero has to go.

Navarrete vs Nunez Latest Odds

Eduardo Nunez is the betting favorite, but the line has tightened all week. Here’s where the Navarrete vs Nunez odds sit as of fight night:

Navarrete vs Nunez Odds

Nunez opened as high as -225 earlier in the week but has come down to -160 at BetMGM. Navarrete moved from around +180 to +130 as money poured in on the underdog. The three-way moneyline has Nunez at -150 and Navarrete at +138.

The fight going the full 12 rounds is priced at -175, with “No” at +125. That lines up with the over/under 10.5 rounds sitting at Over -225 and Under +165 across most boxing betting sites. These two combine for 59 knockouts in 71 fights, but oddsmakers still expect it to go deep.

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Navarrete vs Nunez Tale of the Tape

Navarrete is the bigger man with a clear reach edge. Nunez packs more power per punch. Both fighters made weight comfortably at Friday’s weigh-in, with Navarrete coming in at 129.2 lbs and Nunez at 129.8 lbs.

Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez

Navarrete is a three-division world champion with WBO belts at super bantamweight, featherweight, and super featherweight. He’s never been stopped in 43 pro fights. His recent form has been mixed, though. A split decision loss to Denys Berinchyk at lightweight, a controversial majority draw with Conceicao, a big KO win over Oscar Valdez, and then a no-contest against Charly Suarez that was overturned by the California commission.

Nunez has the scarier knockout rate at 93%. His only loss came back in 2018, just 10 fights into his career, and he’s won 19 straight since. He won the IBF belt in May 2025 by going to Japan and outpointing Masanori Rikiishi, then defended it against Christopher Diaz in his hometown of Los Mochis.

The four-inch reach advantage for Navarrete is the key number. If he can keep Nunez at the end of his jab and use his unorthodox timing, he can make this ugly for Sugar. But if Nunez closes the distance and gets inside, his power is the kind that ends fights.

Want a deeper breakdown? Check out our Navarrete vs Nunez prediction and betting analysis.

Best Boxing Betting Sites for Navarrete vs Nunez

Looking to bet on tonight’s fight? Make sure to shop around for the best lines. Odds vary from book to book, so comparing numbers across multiple boxing betting apps can make a real difference.

Here are some of the top sportsbooks offering Navarrete vs Nunez odds:

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The Navarrete vs Nunez date is Saturday, February 28, 2026. The fight streams live on DAZN with the main card starting at 8 PM ET and ring walks for the main event expected around 11 PM ET. No PPV required.

The post Navarrete vs Nunez Fight Time, Card & How to Watch Tonight on DAZN appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Eduardo Nunez is a -170 moneyline favorite in tonight’s WBO/IBF super featherweight unification bout with Emanuel Navarrete
• The betting line has moved significantly toward Navarrete throughout the week
• See below for my expert Navarrete vs Nunez prediction, latest odds, and line movement for Saturday’s fight

Mexican boxing supremacy in the super featherweight division is on the line tonight, as Emanuel Navarrete faces Eduardo Nunez in a WBO/IBF unification bout. Online sportsbooks are siding with Nunez ahead of the fight, but the market has been moving towards Navarrete all week. I’m in line with the odds movement, as Navarrete’s size and experience post a real problem for Nunez.

The fight is expected to take place around 11 pm ET, inside the Desert Diamond Arena, in Glendale, Arizona, with DAZN handling the broadcast duties.

Here is my expert Navarrete vs Nunez prediction, along with the latest odds, and line movement for Saturday’s fight.

Navarrete vs Nunez Odds

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The odds for this bout vary across different sportsbooks, so make sure to shop for the most favorable number using the best boxing betting sites. As of Saturday morning, Nunez is a -170 favorite win with the fight, after being as short as -225 earlier in the week. He’s +275 to score a victory inside the distance, with Navarrete sporting +450 odds to knock his opponent out.

If you aren’t able to bet on this fight legally in your state, make sure to check out prediction markets, as Kalshi is among the platforms offering markets for tonight’s fight.

Expert Navarrete vs Nunez Prediction

• Emanuel Navarrete Moneyline (+135 at Bet365)

Both men are promising a civil war tonight in the ring, and I’d be absolutely floored in this bout went the distance.

Each fighter possesses a significant amount of power, but bring a very different style to the table. Navarrete applies relentless pressure, using his long reach to pepper opponents with his jab, while also mixing in left handed uppercuts and right hooks as punishing combinations.

Navarrete stands three inches taller than Nunez, with a full three inch reach advantage. He should be able to control the fight at a distance, and pick off a hard charging Nunez.

Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez

Speaking of a hard charging Nunez, he wants nothing more than to walk his opponents down with devastating body shots. He uses those to set up a fierce uppercut, which packs plenty of knockout power.

Both men love to let their mitts fly, with Nunez packing a bit more power, albeit on much less volume. Nunez has gone a full 12 rounds in each of his past two fights, but 27 of his 29 professional victories have come by knockout.

Eduardo Nunez Last 5 Fights

Not to be outdone, Navarrete has scored a knockout in 32 of his 39 victories, and has a vast amount of experience dealing with aggressive, hard hitting opponents like he’ll face in Nunez. This is a man that has battled the likes of Oscar Valdez, Denys Berinchyk and Robson Conceicao to name a few, and will lean on his ring IQ to thwart Nunez’s power and pressure.

At the end of the day, either man is capable of dropping the other, and this fight profiles as a true 50/50 bout. Given I can get +135 odds on the bigger, more experienced boxer to win, it feels like a bet I have to make.

Navarrete vs Nunez Line Movement

If you’re like me and you want to bet Navarrete to win, act quickly. He was as long as a +150 underdog earlier in the week, and I wouldn’t be surprised if his odds closed even shorter than the current +135 price.

The market is seeing this fight very similar to me, hence the line movement towards the underdog. Nunez may have the power advantage, but Navarrete boasts the superior boxing style, and a stronger mental warfare.

The post Expert Navarrete vs. Nunez Prediction, Odds & Line Movement for Saturday’s Fight appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez props are live to bet ahead of tonight’s championship fight.
• My favorite prop to target is Barrios by unanimous decision to possess the WBO and IBF junior lightweight belts.
• Check out the top Navarrete vs Nunez fight props – method of victory, total rounds, and more.

The Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez fight looks like it could be a war potentially. It seems poetic that Glendale, Arizona is hosting this bout on Saturday night. One could argue that this is increasingly unlikely to go the distance. There are even some who believe Navarrete may have looked a little “scared” at the weigh-in.

Both are champions, but Navarrete is an underdog on the moneyline, now at +145 on DraftKings (+142 via FanDuel). There are even more options, depending on the props, to improve odds. Thankfully, the props market becomes king at times like this. After all, Nunez is -166 at FanDuel, but watch for potential small last-minute shifts.

Here are some Navarrete vs Nunez boxing props and the best bets for method of victory, including the odds for a knockout and more.

Navarrete vs Nunez Method of Victory Props

All odds at DraftKings as of Feb. 28. Read our DraftKings Review before betting on the Navarrete vs Nunez fight.

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Yes, the latest update confirms what plenty of pundits believe. Nunez is hellbent on winning this fight a little early. It is almost appropriate to make a bold prediction here, but that knockout, this may be one to take a chance with Nunez at +260 via FanDuel. Navarrete may not have the gas to last. He may also go for the knockout, knowing what he faces here on Saturday night.

The public craves chaos and a good old-fashioned war. That is what Nunez likes to excel in. The previous two fights were a little disappointing. He wants to make amends. Online sportsbooks have seen Nunez’s moneyline numbers broadly around the -165 to -175 range. We are pretty honed in for this bout.

Navarrete vs Nunez Alternate Total Rounds Props

Now, as Brady Trettenero wrote about earlier this week, there are some key numbers to ponder. Again, the moneyline has come down a good deal as money has poured into the Navarrete side. It is a bit surprising, but one good thing is that this alternate rounds prop has improved. There is little secret that Navarrete fights a very awkward style, and he gets knockouts (32 of his 39 wins).

However, he is also fighting a crazed beast in Nunez who craves knockouts. Navarrete could get caught looking as much as Nunez here. It creates the potential for more knockdowns and ultimately an earlier ending to the fight than expected. I like this Under a lot here as a fun small wager risk to take here.

Even More Navarrete vs Nunez Props

Someone said feed us more! I firmly believe we are getting a knockout one way or the other here. If Navarrete nabs the knockout, that is a solid +400 via DraftKings. Other places just could not stack up there. It only gets more intriguing from there. Then, there was the inevitable will both fighters get knocked down. It may be worth a look as FanDuel now offers this at a robust +850. No one is saying bet the farm or whole enchilada. Maybe wager a couple of tacos here.

Going further down the line, some other appetizing props kept popping up. If one is a little more hesitant, you can back either Nunez or Navarrete along with 2+ knockdowns. Nunez raises in at +285 here while Navarrete counters in at +500. Naturally, the even smaller reflex wager to make is the fighter to get off the mat and get the win. Nunez is +1000, and Navarrete is at +1600. Personally, I think Nunez is going to get caught but has a little more in the tank in the end.

Either way, this bout is expected to be a back-and-forth battle from start to finish. Unlike last week, there should be no disappointment. As Mills Lane once said many times, “Let’s get it on!”

The post Navarrete vs. Nunez Boxing Props – See Odds for Knockout & More appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Opening Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2 odds list Floyd as a -210 favorite at BetMGM
• The rematch is a sanctioned professional fight set for Sept. 19 at Sphere in Las Vegas
• See below for opening Mayweather vs Pacquiao odds, date, rules and early analysis

Floyd Mayweather Jr. (50-0, 27 KOs) and Manny Pacquiao (62-8-3, 39 KOs) are officially running it back. More than 11 years after their record-breaking first fight, the two legends will meet again in a sanctioned professional bout on Saturday, Sept. 19 at Sphere in Las Vegas. Netflix will stream the event live worldwide.

Opening Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2 odds at BetMGM have “Money” Mayweather as a -210 favorite, with Pacquiao returning as a +170 underdog. The three-way moneyline lists Mayweather at -175, a draw at +1600 and Pacquiao at +150.

Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2 Odds

Mayweather opens as a -210 favorite, which gives him roughly 67.7% implied probability. Pacquiao is the +170 underdog with around 37% implied odds. The draw is priced way out at +1600.

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Odds as of March 1, 2026, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Get the BetMGM promo code to bet on Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2.

Mayweather Favored in Opening Mayweather vs Pacquiao Odds

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that Mayweather is the favorite here. He’s never lost a professional fight, and he beat Pacquiao pretty comfortably the first time around. All three scorecards went his way in 2015, including one 118-110 card that wasn’t close at all.

That said, there are real questions about Mayweather at this stage. He turned 49 in February, and his last professional fight was the Conor McGregor bout back in 2017. Everything since then has been exhibitions against YouTubers, reality TV guys and other non-boxers. That’s a long time away from fights that actually count.

Pacquiao, meanwhile, has stayed busier. He’s fought eight times since their first meeting, picking up wins over Keith Thurman, Adrien Broner and Lucas Matthysse. His most recent outing was a majority draw against then-WBC welterweight champ Mario Barrios last July. He’s 47 and clearly not the fighter he was 15 years ago, but he’s still active and competitive.

This will be a sanctioned professional fight that goes on both records. That’s a big deal for Mayweather. His 50-0 record is on the line, and Pacquiao has said openly that he wants to “haunt” Floyd by handing him his first loss. Shop the best boxing betting sites for the most favorable number on this fight.

Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2 Date, Rules and How to Watch

The fight takes place on Saturday, Sept. 19 at Sphere in Las Vegas. This will be only the second sporting event held at the venue after UFC 306 in September 2024.

Netflix will stream the fight live worldwide as part of all subscription plans. No additional pay-per-view purchase is needed. Ring walk times haven’t been announced yet, but the event is currently listed for a 6:00 PM ET start.

Both fighters agreed this had to be a real fight, not an exhibition. It’s a welterweight bout that will count on both of their professional records. Exact round length and glove size details haven’t been confirmed, but the fight will follow professional boxing standards.

Early Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2 Analysis

The first fight was criticized for being boring, and Pacquiao claimed a shoulder injury held him back. Whether or not that’s true, Mayweather controlled the entire fight with his jab and defensive movement. He made it look easy.

Both fighters are now in their late 40s, which could actually level the playing field. Mayweather’s speed and reflexes will have declined over eight years of limited activity. Pacquiao has slowed down too, but he’s at least been in real fights recently.

If Mayweather still has the defensive instincts and ring IQ that made him special, he should be able to outpoint Pacquiao again. But if the years away from professional competition have caught up with him, Pacquiao could make this one interesting. We’ll update with a full prediction and best props as odds continue to develop.

The post Mayweather vs Pacquiao 2 Odds, Date, Rules & How to Watch the Rematch appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Eduardo Nunez is a massive favorite against Emanuel Navarrete on Saturday, February 28
• This is a WBO/IBF super featherweight unification fight in Arizona
• See below for the latest Navarrete vs Nunez odds, prediction and how to watch

Emanuel Navarrete (39-2-1) and Eduardo Nunez (29-1) meet in a super featherweight unification fight on Saturday night at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona. Nunez puts his IBF title on the line while Navarrete defends his WBO belt on DAZN.

I’ve broken down the latest Navarrete vs Nunez odds below, plus my prediction and how to watch.

Navarrete vs Nunez Odds

Nunez is a -225 moneyline favorite at BetMGM, meaning you’d need to bet $225 to win $100. Navarrete is coming back at +160 as the underdog.

Those -225 odds give Nunez about a 69% implied probability to win. The books are giving Navarrete roughly a 38% chance to pull off what they consider an upset.

The fight going the full 12 rounds is priced at -160. That’s intriguing given both fighters have knockout power. Nunez has stopped 27 of his 29 opponents, while Navarrete has 32 knockouts in 39 wins.

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Odds as of Feb. 25 at BetMGM. Get the BetMGM bonus code to use on the Navarrete vs Nunez fight.

Navarrete vs Nunez Prediction

• Emanuel Navarrete to win (+160 at BetMGM)

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Nunez is the favorite, but -225 is too steep for a fighter facing someone as awkward as Navarrete. I think there’s value on the underdog at +160.

Navarrete fights like nobody else. His posture, footwork and guard shift constantly. He throws from weird angles, making exchanges messy and hard to time. That unpredictability has carried him to three-division world titles.

Nunez is a pressure fighter with serious power. He likes to walk opponents down and unload combinations. But his style is more straightforward. Against Navarrete, that approach could get him caught with shots he doesn’t see coming.

The key question is who controls the exchanges. Navarrete extends his fights by using angles and changing shapes. Nunez extends through durability and forward pressure. In long exchanges, the fighter who changes shape usually beats the fighter who repeats shape. That should favor Navarrete.

Teddy Atlas leans Nunez but won’t lay the -225 odds because of Navarrete’s ability to use his legs and keep the slower Nunez off balance. That tells you the price on the favorite might be wrong.

Navarrete has been in wars before. He got dropped by Liam Wilson and came back to stop him. He lost a close split decision to Denys Berinchyk at lightweight. And he knocked out Oscar Valdez in emphatic fashion in their rematch. This guy has experience in tough fights.

I expect a high-paced fight with dramatic swings. Navarrete’s awkward style should frustrate Nunez and create openings. The betting value is all on the underdog at plus money.

Navarrete vs Nunez Tale of the Tape

Navarrete has a height and reach advantage in this matchup. He’s two inches taller with a three-inch reach edge. That length should help him keep Nunez at distance when he wants to reset.

Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez

Both fighters have knockout power, but Nunez has the higher stoppage rate at 93% compared to Navarrete’s 82%. That said, Navarrete has faced better competition throughout his career and has proven he can go 12 rounds when needed.

Navarrete vs Nunez Date & How to Watch

Navarrete vs Nunez takes place on Saturday, February 28 at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona. The card streams live on DAZN.

The undercard features Tahmir Smalls vs Abel Ramos and Emiliano Vargas vs Agustin Quintana. Start times and ring walk information should be announced closer to fight week.

The post Emanuel Navarrete vs Eduardo Nunez Odds, Prediction, Date & Tale of the Tape appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

• Ryan Garcia is a -275 moneyline favorite over Mario Barrios in tonight’s WBC welterweight championship fight
• Garcia hasn’t scored an official victory since December of 2023
• See below for my expert Barrios vs Garcia prediction, latest odds, and line movement for tonight’s fight

The WBC welterweight belt is on the line later tonight, as Ryan Garcia challenges champion Mario Barrios. Online sportsbooks are siding heavily with Garcia, banking he fights to his ceiling potential. and dispatches the underwhelming champ. I’m on board with that line of thinking, and will be backing the challenger in my expert Barrios vs Garcia prediction.

The fight is expected to take place around 9 pm PT, Midnight ET, inside the T-Mobile Arena, in Las Vegas, with DAZN handling the broadcast duties.

Here is my expert Barrios vs Garcia prediction, along with the latest odds, and line movement for tonight’s fight.

Barrios vs Garcia Latest Odds

Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Barrios vs Garcia fight.

The odds for this bout vary across different sportsbooks, so make sure to shop for the most favorable number using the best boxing betting sites. Garcia is currently listed as a -275 moneyline favorite at Bet365, with Barrios coming back as a +205 underdog.

If you aren’t able to bet on this fight legally in your state, make sure to check out prediction markets, as Kalshi is among the platforms offering markets for tonight’s fight.

Expert Barrios vs Garcia Prediction

• Ryan Garcia Win by Decision (+240 at Bet365)

Listen to any boxing expert, and you’ll hear the same thing. This is Garcia’s fight to win as long as his head is in it. The 27-year-old has battled serious mental health issues over the last couple years, to the point where boxing wasn’t his clear priority.

That showed up in his last fight vs Rolando Romero, in which he inexplicably lost to an inferior opponent. The last time we saw Garcia at his best was in April of 2024, when he knocked down Devin Haney three time times with his patented left hook. Garcia went on to win that fight, only to be stripped of the victory two weeks later and then promptly served a one-year ban for PED’s.

The layoff resulted in Garcia gaining a ton of weight, and losing his motivation to train. He was a shell of himself against Romero, but all signs point to that being behind him.

For starters, he’s back training with his father, whom he’s undefeated with when the elder Garcia is in his corner. He looks like he’s in the best shape of his life, and on paper, he’s simply a better boxer than Barrios by every metric.

Mario Barrios vs Ryan Garcia Tale of the Tape

Garcia is quicker, more powerful and has better footwork than the champ. When he’s at his best, Garcia is breaking down his opponent with lightning-quick combinations, all in the effort to set up his devastating left hook.

There’s also an extra motivational factor for Garcia. His former trainer is now in the champ’s corner, prompting Garcia to make a “traitor” tee shirt which he flung at him during a presser this week.

Barrios has the length to try and keep Garcia away with his jab, but he’s looked sluggish and inconsistent in his last few title defenses, earning back-to-back draws with Abel Ramos and a washed-up Manny Pacquiao.

Barrios is a competent defender, but doesn’t do nearly enough offensively against tough competition, fighting not to lose rather than to win. That explains why Barrios has never won a major fight as a headliner, and I don’t think he’ll buck that trend tonight.

Ryan Garcia Last 5 Fights

Garcia has the power to knock out Barrios, however, I’m going to bet him to win by decision instead. Barrios is going to everything he can to eliminate Garcia’s patented left hook, which will leave him open to jabs and body shots. That’s good enough for Garcia to win on points, but won’t inflict enough damage to drop the champ.

As mentioned, Barrios fights far often not to lose, and his lack of aggression will keep him upright, but ultimately will cost him his title.

Barrios vs Garcia Line Movement

In the last five days alone, Garcia’s moneyline odds have been shortened from -225 to -275. Bettors are seeing the same thing as me, which is Garcia has a much higher ceiling than Barrios, while the champ’s recent track record is too underwhelming to ignore.

In terms of a method of victory, most bettors are backing Garcia to knock out Barrios, but for the reasons I explained I don’t envision this fight ending that way. Barrios has only been knocked out once in his career, and interesting enough it was from a Gervonta Davis uppercut, the only man to knock out Garcia as well.

The post Expert Barrios vs Garcia Prediction, Odds & Line Movement for Tonight’s Fight appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.